Can Trump get a better Iran deal than Obama?
Étienne de La Boétie
I read today of the negotiations with Iran, and of the former leader who claims he can make a “better” arrangement than the one before. They speak of deals and terms, of who conceded what and who gained more. I find my mind drifting from the substance of the bargain to the act of bargaining itself.
We appoint a person to speak for us all. We call him the negotiator. He goes to a distant place and agrees to things on our behalf. Then we obey. We do not know the man. We did not sit at the table. We did not hear the words exchanged. Yet we accept that his signature binds us, as if we had signed it ourselves. If a friend promised a stranger to give away your property, you would call it theft. But when a man with a title does it, we call it statecraft. I do not understand the difference.
They argue over which arrangement is “better.” But this presumes the arrangement itself is necessary. It presumes that millions must be bound by the pen strokes of a few. The habit is so complete that we debate only the terms of our servitude, not the servitude itself. We have forgotten to ask why we must have a “deal” at all. The custom of being represented has become a fact of nature. We are like sleepers who dream of choosing a softer chain.
The arithmetic is plain: one person, or a handful, decide for countless others. The countless others will live with the consequences, pay the costs, follow the rules. And they will do so without complaint, because they have been taught that this is how things are done. The true marvel is not that one leader believes he can improve the terms. The marvel is that we all believe we must be bound by terms we did not set. The power of the negotiator is only the power we grant him by our silent consent to be negotiated for. When will we withdraw it?
Lao Tzu
The news speaks of a “better” deal, of striking and negotiating. It is as if the world were a marketplace, and peace a commodity to be bartered. They speak of what one man can achieve over another, as if the strength of a deal lies in the hand that signs it, rather than in the nature of the agreement itself.
They pulled back from the river, then they pushed against the current, and now they wonder why the waters are troubled. To force a river into a new channel, one must expend great effort, and the river will always seek its old path, or carve a new, more violent one.
Perhaps the “better” deal is no deal at all. Perhaps the true strength lies in letting go, in ceasing to grasp so tightly. When one ceases to push, the other ceases to resist. The empty space between them, that which is not defined by demands and counter-demands, that is where understanding might flow, like water finding its own level. To name a deal “better” before it exists is to already constrain it, to already set it against what was. The wise leader does not seek to conquer the other, but to create the conditions where all can simply be. The greatest peace is not negotiated; it simply arises when the struggle ceases.
Leonardo da Vinci
15 June, 1519
The reports of renewed negotiations with Persia remind me of my studies on the behavior of fluids under pressure. When water is forced through a narrow channel, it accelerates violently - yet the same force, distributed through multiple apertures, flows smoothly. The previous agreement was like a single canal: all pressure concentrated in one fragile passage. The moment it was breached, the entire system collapsed.
Trump speaks of a “better” deal, but I wonder: better how? In mechanics, we measure improvement by structural integrity - does it distribute load more evenly? Resist torsion? A true improvement would be like the branching veins of a leaf, where if one channel fails, others sustain the flow. But I see no design for such redundancy.
The more troubling question: can any agreement hold when the parties press against each other like opposing gears? In my models, gears must mesh precisely; even a slight misalignment grinds teeth to dust. Here, the teeth are wills - Persia’s hunger for leverage, America’s hunger for dominance. Neither yields.
I have not yet determined whether diplomacy can engineer a balance under such forces. Perhaps the solution lies not in the deal itself, but in the scaffolding around it - as with a cantilevered bridge, where the weight is borne not by the span alone, but by the entire system of counterforces. But who will calculate the tolerances?
The notebook stays open.