Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule in Hungary has ended after the opposition Tisza party, led by Péter Magyar, won the Hungarian election by a landslide. — Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule in Hungary has ended after the opposition Tisza party, led by Péter Magyar, won the Hungarian election by a landslide.
The transition of power in Hungary requires that the complex, lived experience of a nation’s political identity be replaced by the explicit outcomes of a new electoral mandate. But an election, much like a textbook, provides only a set of codified results; it does not provide the underlying substance of the political life it purports to redirect. The victory of the Tisza party over the long-standing Fidesz administration is being framed by many as a sudden shift in a grander European project, yet this view suffers from the typical rationalist error: it treats a change in management as a change in the very nature of the conversation.
We are presented with a narrative of “reversal.” The pundits suggest that by removing Viktor Orbán, the European Union has effectively corrected a structural error in its constitutional architecture. They speak as if the European project were a machine that had been running with a faulty gear, and that the removal of this gear will automatically restore the smooth operation of the whole. This is the language of enterprise association - the language of those who believe that politics is the management of a predefined goal. They see the Hungarian electorate not as participants in a local, historical continuity, but as variables in a continental equation.
The error here lies in the assumption that the “rule of law” or “European integration” are merely technical rules that can be toggled on or off by a change in the executive. These are not mere rules; they are the accumulated habits of a certain kind of civil association. They are the “practical knowledge” of how a society conducts itself within a larger framework. When a regime like Orbán’s persists for sixteen years, it develops a certain, albeit highly contentious, internal logic. It creates a way of doing things - a set of administrative habits, a particular vocabulary of sovereignty, and a specific way of relating to the neighbors - that becomes embedded in the very machinery of the state.
The new administration, led by Péter Magyar, arrives with a programme that is, by definition, a rationalist one. It seeks to re-align Hungary with the established norms of the European Union. This is a coherent plan on paper; it is a set of technical adjustments to policy, to rhetoric, and to the relationship with Brussels. However, the plan assumes that the “Hungarian” part of the equation is a blank slate upon which new rules can be written. It fails to account for the fact that the sixteen years of the previous administration have fundamentally altered the practical knowledge of the Hungarian citizenry. The people have learned a new way of navigating the state, a new way of understanding the boundaries of authority, and a new way of expressing dissent.
There is a significant gap between the technical victory of the Tisza party and the practical reality of governing a nation that has been shaped by a decade and a half of a different, more insular, political practice. The new leaders may possess the technical knowledge of EU law and the formal mechanics of democratic governance, but they do not yet possess the tacit knowledge of how to reintegrate a deeply polarized society into the broader European conversation without triggering a new, perhaps more fragmented, form of domestic resistance.
One must ask whether this election represents a genuine turning point or merely a change in the tone of the debate. If it is a turning point, it is not because a new truth has been discovered, but because the conversation has shifted its emphasis. The danger is that the new administration, in its eagerness to implement a successful “programme” of reintegration, may treat the Hungarian people as subjects to be managed rather than as participants in a continuing tradition.
The true test of this transition will not be found in the legislative reforms or the diplomatic communiqués issued to Brussels. It will be found in whether the new government can attend to the immediate, practical needs of its people - the small, unwritten requirements of civil life - without attempting to force the nation into a pre-packaged ideological mould. The tradition of Hungarian politics, however much it has been disrupted, suggests that lasting stability comes not from the imposition of a new system, but from the careful, incremental adjustments that respect the existing, if wounded, continuity of the community.